The United States reported 29,000 jobs created in September 2026 and an unemployment rate holding at 4.2 percent, figures the Bureau of Labor Statistics describes as little changed from the prior month. This release, published on October 2, 2026, closes a week in which several official US indicators came out in quick succession. Here is a recap of what was confirmed between September 28 and October 4, 2026, followed by the agenda for the coming days as announced by the issuing institutions themselves.
The September jobs report and its revisions
According to the BLS release, nonfarm payroll employment rose by 29,000 in September and the unemployment rate held at 4.2 percent, a change the institution describes as small: “Both nonfarm payroll employment (+29,000) and the unemployment rate (4.2 percent) changed little in September”.
The same report contains downward revisions to the two prior months: July was revised from +21,000 to -10,000, and August from +162,000 to +133,000, a combined 60,000 fewer jobs than the initial estimates, as detailed in the October 4, 2026 briefing. The BLS specifies that “The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for July was revised down by 31,000, from +21,000 to -10,000, and the change for August was revised down by 29,000, from +162,000 to +133,000”. Full detail on the October 2 release appears in the briefing dedicated to this report.
The ISM manufacturing index and the 10-year Treasury yield
The US ISM Manufacturing index came in at 54.5 in September, down 0.1 point from 54.6 in August, marking what the ISM describes as the ninth consecutive month of sector expansion: “The Manufacturing PMI registered 54.5 percent in September, 0.1 percentage point below the August figure of 54.6 percent”. This figure was published on October 1, as reported in the October 2, 2026 briefing.
On the rates side, the US Department of the Treasury published a 10-year yield of 5.24 percent on October 1, 2026 and 5.28 percent on October 2, 2026, the latest available data point on the official curve for this week: “10/01/2026 … 10 Yr 5.24 ; 10/02/2026 … 10 Yr 5.28”. This level extends a trend already noted in the September 28 briefing and the previous week’s recap.
| Indicator | Value | Date | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nonfarm payrolls (September) | +29,000 | October 2, 2026 | BLS |
| Unemployment rate (September) | 4.2 percent | October 2, 2026 | BLS |
| ISM Manufacturing (September) | 54.5 | October 1, 2026 | ISM |
| 10-year Treasury yield | 5.28 percent | October 2, 2026 | US Department of the Treasury |
The confirmed official agenda for the week of October 5 to 11, 2026
The ISM will publish its ISM Services PMI report for September 2026 on Monday, October 5, 2026, according to its official calendar, which places the release of the Services report on the third business day of the month: “October 2026 | 1 | 5”. No specific publication time is given by the ISM in this calendar.
The BLS will then publish the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September 2026 on Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time, according to its official release schedule: “September 2026 Oct. 14, 2026 08:30 AM”.
Finally, the next monthly US jobs report, covering October 2026, is already scheduled by the BLS for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time: “The Employment Situation for October 2026 is scheduled to be published on Friday, November 6, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. (ET)”.
What this recap does not allow us to claim
None of the official sources cited here provide a market consensus, a forecast level for the September CPI, or an expected rate reaction following the October FOMC decision. This recap is therefore limited to figures already published and dates already announced by the issuing institutions, without adding any unsourced rate scenario or price movement. For an overview of the mechanics that move execution prices day to day, see also this article on the spread between the sell price (bid) and buy price (ask), or the one on slippage between the quoted price and the execution price.
Frequently asked questions
Why were the July and August figures revised?
The BLS regularly updates its employment estimates as more complete data becomes available. For July and August 2026, this update resulted in a combined downward revision of 60,000 jobs compared with the figures initially published.
Did the unemployment rate rise in September?
No, the BLS indicates that the unemployment rate held at 4.2 percent in September 2026, a level the institution describes as little changed from the prior month.
What is the next major release to watch?
Did the 10-year Treasury yield move much this week?
According to official data from the US Department of the Treasury, the yield rose from 5.24 percent on October 1 to 5.28 percent on October 2, 2026, the two latest available values on the curve for this period.