{"id":1057,"date":"2026-10-01T07:01:25","date_gmt":"2026-10-01T05:01:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wegetfunded.com\/?p=1057"},"modified":"2026-10-01T21:49:46","modified_gmt":"2026-10-01T19:49:46","slug":"journal-1er-octobre-2026-0ca834","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wegetfunded.com\/fr\/blog\/journal-1er-octobre-2026-0ca834\/","title":{"rendered":"Journal du 1er octobre 2026 : Wall Street finit en ordre dispers\u00e9 apr\u00e8s le PCE d&rsquo;ao\u00fbt, l&#8217;emploi priv\u00e9 ADP rebondit en septembre, agenda ISM manufacturier et claims"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Le journal 1er octobre 2026 s&rsquo;ouvre sur une s\u00e9ance de mercredi contrast\u00e9e \u00e0 Wall Street et sur un agenda macro d\u00e9j\u00e0 partiellement connu pour la journ\u00e9e : le rapport ADP de septembre est tomb\u00e9 le matin m\u00eame, tandis que l&rsquo;ISM Manufacturing PMI et les inscriptions hebdomadaires au ch\u00f4mage restent \u00e0 publier dans les prochaines heures.<\/p>\n\n<h2>La cl\u00f4ture de Wall Street mercredi 30 septembre<\/h2>\n<p>La s\u00e9ance de mercredi s&rsquo;est termin\u00e9e en ordre dispers\u00e9 sur les trois grands indices new-yorkais. Le Dow Jones a c\u00e9d\u00e9 0,86 %, soit 443,87 points, pour finir \u00e0 50 906,05 points. Le S&amp;P 500 a recul\u00e9 plus modestement, de 0,25 % (19,30 points), \u00e0 7 651,54 points. Le Nasdaq Composite a en revanche progress\u00e9 de 0,24 % (63,52 points), \u00e0 26 861,06 points, port\u00e9 par certaines valeurs technologiques alors que le reste du march\u00e9 dig\u00e9rait les derniers chiffres d&rsquo;inflation (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.boursorama.com\/bourse\/actualites\/wall-street-en-ordre-disperse-apres-des-donnees-sur-l-inflation-89466216ede9c4e46ff77f1d03e0a2e3\" rel=\"noopener\">Boursorama<\/a>).<\/p>\n<p>Sur le march\u00e9 obligataire, le rendement du Tr\u00e9sor am\u00e9ricain \u00e0 10 ans s&rsquo;\u00e9tablissait \u00e0 5,25 % le 29 septembre, un niveau que les observateurs qualifient de plus haut depuis 2007 (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.france24.com\/fr\/info-en-continu\/20260929-wall-street-cl%C3%B4ture-en-baisse-les-taux-touchent-des-sommets-1\" rel=\"noopener\">France 24<\/a>). Pour les traders qui suivent ce taux de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence au fil des s\u00e9ances, le <a href=\"https:\/\/wegetfunded.com\/fr\/blog\/journal-du-29-septembre-2026-61effc\/\">journal du 29 septembre<\/a> et le <a href=\"https:\/\/wegetfunded.com\/fr\/blog\/rendement-10-ans-d66c3f\/\">journal du 26 septembre<\/a> permettent de resituer cette progression dans la dur\u00e9e.<\/p>\n\n<h2>L&rsquo;inflation PCE d&rsquo;ao\u00fbt, d\u00e9j\u00e0 publi\u00e9e et d\u00e9j\u00e0 dig\u00e9r\u00e9e par le march\u00e9<\/h2>\n<p>C&rsquo;est pr\u00e9cis\u00e9ment cette donn\u00e9e d&rsquo;inflation qui a pes\u00e9 sur la s\u00e9ance de mercredi. Selon le Bureau of Economic Analysis, l&rsquo;indice des prix PCE a augment\u00e9 de 3,4 % sur un an en ao\u00fbt 2026, et de 3,0 % hors alimentation et \u00e9nergie, sa composante jug\u00e9e la plus repr\u00e9sentative de l&rsquo;inflation sous-jacente par la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bea.gov\/news\/2026\/personal-income-and-outlays-august-2026\" rel=\"noopener\">Bureau of Economic Analysis<\/a>). Un chiffre qui reste au-dessus de la cible de 2 % vis\u00e9e par la Fed et qui alimente les interrogations sur la trajectoire des taux, un sujet d\u00e9j\u00e0 abord\u00e9 dans le <a href=\"https:\/\/wegetfunded.com\/fr\/blog\/journal-du-28-septembre-2026-340328\/\">journal du 28 septembre<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n<h2>L&#8217;emploi priv\u00e9 ADP de septembre, tomb\u00e9 ce matin<\/h2>\n<p>Dans la matin\u00e9e du 1er octobre, le secteur priv\u00e9 am\u00e9ricain a publi\u00e9 son rapport mensuel ADP National Employment Report. Le r\u00e9sultat affiche un rebond : 90 000 emplois cr\u00e9\u00e9s en septembre, un chiffre port\u00e9 par l&rsquo;\u00e9ducation-sant\u00e9 et les loisirs-h\u00f4tellerie, et qui marque la premi\u00e8re acc\u00e9l\u00e9ration de l&#8217;embauche depuis mai apr\u00e8s trois mois de ralentissement (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.prnewswire.com\/news-releases\/adp-national-employment-report-private-sector-employment-increased-by-90-000-jobs-in-september-302894314.html\" rel=\"noopener\">ADP National Employment Report<\/a>). Le chiffre d&rsquo;ao\u00fbt a par ailleurs \u00e9t\u00e9 r\u00e9vis\u00e9 \u00e0 la baisse, de 38 000 \u00e0 36 000 emplois priv\u00e9s cr\u00e9\u00e9s, selon ce m\u00eame communiqu\u00e9 (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.prnewswire.com\/news-releases\/adp-national-employment-report-private-sector-employment-increased-by-90-000-jobs-in-september-302894314.html\" rel=\"noopener\">ADP National Employment Report<\/a>). Ce rapport priv\u00e9 pr\u00e9c\u00e8de traditionnellement de deux jours le rapport officiel du Bureau of Labor Statistics, et les traders qui suivent les dynamiques d&#8217;emploi am\u00e9ricain avaient d\u00e9j\u00e0 pu observer, dans le <a href=\"https:\/\/wegetfunded.com\/fr\/blog\/confiance-des-consommateurs-417a4f\/\">journal du 30 septembre<\/a>, un repli parall\u00e8le des ouvertures de postes et de la confiance des m\u00e9nages.<\/p>\n\n<h2>Ce qui reste \u00e0 publier : ISM manufacturier et claims hebdomadaires<\/h2>\n<p>Deux rendez-vous macro confirm\u00e9s restent au calendrier de la journ\u00e9e du 1er octobre. L&rsquo;Institute for Supply Management a annonc\u00e9 la publication de son rapport ISM Manufacturing PMI portant sur septembre \u00e0 10h00, heure de l&rsquo;Est (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ismworld.org\/supply-management-news-and-reports\/reports\/ism-pmi-reports\/pmi\/august\" rel=\"noopener\">ISM World<\/a>). Pour m\u00e9moire, le chiffre d&rsquo;ao\u00fbt s&rsquo;\u00e9tait \u00e9tabli \u00e0 54,6 %, en repli d&rsquo;un point par rapport aux 55,6 % de juillet, ce qui marquait n\u00e9anmoins un huiti\u00e8me mois cons\u00e9cutif d&rsquo;expansion du secteur manufacturier am\u00e9ricain. Aucun consensus ni pr\u00e9vision chiffr\u00e9e pour septembre n&rsquo;a \u00e9t\u00e9 communiqu\u00e9 par l&rsquo;institution \u00e0 ce stade, et ce journal ne retient donc que l&rsquo;annonce de l&rsquo;\u00e9ch\u00e9ance.<\/p>\n<p>Par ailleurs, le D\u00e9partement du Travail am\u00e9ricain publie chaque jeudi matin, \u00e0 8h30 heure de l&rsquo;Est, son rapport hebdomadaire sur les demandes d&rsquo;allocations ch\u00f4mage (<a href=\"https:\/\/oui.doleta.gov\/unemploy\/claims_arch.asp\" rel=\"noopener\">Office of Unemployment Insurance<\/a>). Cette publication est donc elle aussi confirm\u00e9e pour la journ\u00e9e du 1er octobre, sans que ce journal dispose \u00e0 l&rsquo;heure de la r\u00e9daction du chiffre pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent communiqu\u00e9 par l&rsquo;institution ni d&rsquo;une pr\u00e9vision officielle.<\/p>\n\n<h2>Ce que ce journal ne tranche pas<\/h2>\n<p>Ce journal ne pr\u00e9tend pas anticiper la r\u00e9action du march\u00e9 aux publications de l&rsquo;ISM et des claims qui restent \u00e0 venir ce jeudi. Il ne retient que les faits d\u00e9j\u00e0 r\u00e9alis\u00e9s, s\u00e9par\u00e9s de l&rsquo;agenda encore ouvert. Pour les traders \u00e9valu\u00e9s sur un <a href=\"https:\/\/wegetfunded.com\/fr\/blog\/comparatif-prop-firms\/\">challenge prop firm<\/a>, la prudence autour de publications macro \u00e0 fort potentiel de volatilit\u00e9 reste une question de gestion du risque, pas de pari directionnel.<\/p>\n\n\n<p class=\"wgf-meta wgf-byline wp-block-paragraph\">Quentin Belsack<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Le journal 1er octobre 2026 s&rsquo;ouvre sur une s\u00e9ance de mercredi contrast\u00e9e \u00e0 Wall Street et sur un agenda macro d\u00e9j\u00e0 partiellement connu pour la journ\u00e9e : le rapport ADP de septembre est tomb\u00e9 le matin m\u00eame, tandis que l&rsquo;ISM Manufacturing PMI et les inscriptions hebdomadaires au ch\u00f4mage restent \u00e0 publier dans les prochaines heures. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1056,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_wgf_editorial_author":"quentin","_wgf_editorial_kind":"journal","footnotes":""},"categories":[34],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1057","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-journal-des-marches"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Journal 1er octobre 2026 : Wall Street dispers\u00e9e, ADP<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Journal 1er octobre 2026 : Wall Street finit dispers\u00e9e apr\u00e8s le PCE d&#039;ao\u00fbt, l&#039;emploi priv\u00e9 ADP rebondit, ISM et claims \u00e0 venir.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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